Silver Investor: This Week's Economic Update

Published: Sat, 09/07/13

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Question of the Week

Question: How important is Open Interest in your analysis of future Gold and Silver spot price?

Please provide in order of precedence technical and or fundamental analysis tools you use to determine your most favorable financial desired outcome?
Ernesto -

Comment: Open interest is a gauge of OPEN positions on the Comex. The larger the number-- the more "bets" are being placed on price moving up or down. In the old days there was almost an exact number that OI hit and then the sell-off would begin. This has changed over the years as more participants come into the Futures Market. But still you can look for OI at a certain level and be pretty certain that something will take place to move the market sufficiently for open positions to be closed. Once that takes place the lower band of OI is obtained and the "games" begin again.

So, the OI varies generally between these two numbers-- again they have changed over the years.

The primary analysis is pure fundamentals -- there has NEVER been in all of recorded history a fiat currency that has not FAILED! This is a fact and because every time this happens the majority suffers badly. This time it happens to be a global situation which means the repercussions will be significant.

PS: We do post COT (Commitment of Traders) data in our members only section of the website--

Best Regards,

David Morgan


Audio/Video of the Week

David Morgan: The impact of the Syrian conflict on Gold and Oil Prices

Tracy Weslosky, Publisher of InvestorIntel interviews David Morgan of SilverInvestor on the bottom of the gold and silver market and associated road to recovery. They also discuss the Syrian conflict and the impact on the gold and silver market, and on oil & gas demand.

In response to Weslosky's question on how the Syrian conflict will affect the market, David starts: "Whenever there is uncertainty in the market people run to safety and there are two safety hedges really -- one is considered the US dollar...and the other one is gold, and the subset silver...now with Syria, you're looking at an oil potential problem and Russia is taking sides on one side and the US on the other, so the potential is great that we are going to see higher oil prices -- we saw about a $6 move yesterday, so I think we are going to see an up in oil because of uncertainty and I think gold will go along with it."

In the interview, David explains that he believes the gold and silver market has seen its bottom, and believes that once gold breaks $1550 and $26 for silver that market confidence will build again.

http://youtu.be/LBhbqhacxLo

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The Silver-Gold Bull Digging In

Precious metal producers holding back inventory.

http://bit.ly/1e2XEtL
 


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Information contained herein has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but there is no guarantee as to completeness or accuracy. Because individual investment objectives vary, this Summary should not be construed as advice to meet the particular needs of the reader. Any opinions expressed herein are statements of our judgment as of this date and are subject to change without notice. Any action taken as a result of reading this independent market research is solely the responsibility of the reader.

Stone Investment Group is not and does not profess to be a professional investment advisor, and strongly encourages all readers to consult with their own personal financial advisors, attorneys, and accountants before making any investment decision. Stone Investment Group and/or independent consultants or members of their families may have a position in the securities mentioned. Mr. Morgan does consult on a paid basis both with private investors and various companies. Investing and speculation are inherently risky and should not be undertaken without professional advice. By your act of reading this independent market research letter, you fully and explicitly agree that Stone Investment Group will not be held liable or responsible for any decisions you make regarding any information discussed herein.

 

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