Question:
Hi Dave,
I want to first of all congratulate you on your
work and your Web site. It is very useful.
I recently decided to hold back from purchasing
a home at the moment and wanted to use cash down
on stocks you recommend. I have been studying an
entry point. But on the way to making my move,
Mike Maloney, who I do follow as well, mentioned
in the near future we may see a crash in the
market (even if it is propped up by Ben and
friends it still losses value). Now my question
is, will the silver stocks
perform as well as silver even if there is a
deflation? Or will the mining stocks be in
jeopardy as well as all the general market? I
remember Mike Maloney said in his book, in the
depression mining stocks outperformed the
market.
Thanks for your help.
Steve
Comment:
No one knows for certain, not me, not Mike.
I do think if we got a huge crash in the general
stock market both gold and silver stocks would
follow the market down. They are stocks after
all. However, if the sell-off is more moderate
then the mining shares would fare better. Mining
shares did do excellent in the last depression.
During the crash of 1987 gold stocks were among
the first to recover.
If you have bought for cash and held, even in a
downturn, history would indicate that you would
come out okay. Now in my view, your personal
living space is far more important than picking
the right mining shares.
Real estate has sold down a great deal the past
few years; many of our picks are way up. Perhaps
you might think of what is low and what is high,
currently. As we know, buying low and selling
high seems to work.
Longer term real estate generally will be going
down and precious metals higher, it is just
seeing people wait (sacrifice) too long for a
home makes me uneasy.